As the MLB season reaches its third month, the Arizona Diamondbacks are in a better spot than most expected at 33-23. They are just a half game back of first place in the NL West and are on the brink of a four-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies are 24-33 which puts them in last place in the division.
For the final game of this four-game series in Arizona the Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Zach Davies to make his fourth start of the year. Davies is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA. The Rockies counter with Connor Seabold who has made five starts and seven appearances out of the bullpen. Seabold is 1-2 with a 5.94 ERA.
Here are the odds for the Rockies and Diamondbacks in Game 4.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks odds, run line and total
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks prediction and pick
The Rockies had a solid month of May going 15-13, but it wasn’t because of their pitching staff. Colorado was 29th in team ERA in the month, not an overly surprising stat given that they play half of their games at elevation, but still a 5.13 team ERA is a problem. They did hit the ball very well though and finished the month seventh in OPS. Surprisingly they’re led offensively by Elias Diaz, a catcher having a breakout season at the age of 32.
The Diamondbacks were just as good on offense last month, fifth in OPS, sixth in homers, and eighth in runs scored. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Corbin Carroll have been two of the best hitters in baseball and last night Christian Walker hit his 12th home run of the year and the 100th of his career.
With Davies and Seabold on the mound it’ll be down to the bullpens because neither starter has gone deep into starts. In terms of bullpen ERA they are both average, but likely to allow a few runs to cross before the game crosses the finish line. It’s a very high total, but this game just feels like it’ll go over after back-to-back low scoring games in this series.
For the entire month the Rockies were one of the worst pitching teams and best hitting teams. Despite that, the under is 31-25-1 in their games this season because they constantly have sky-high totals set. Those totals are inflated when they are at home in Colorado, but on the road I think a 9.5 total is justified, so I’ll take the over.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change